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Transit Factoids:

An estimated 14 million Americans ride public transportation each weekday and an additional 25 million use it on a less frequent but regular basis.

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Center for Transportation Excellence
1030 15th Street NW
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Washington, DC 20005
Tel: (202) 349-1037
Fax: (202) 318-1429
info@cfte.org
www.cfte.org



What the Critics Are Saying

Critics of public transportation have varied reasons for opposing transit projects.  Some opponents may be influenced by personal beliefs.  Others have a political agenda.  Still others oppose public transportation because of the potential harm to the industry they represent.  All critics cite many of the same reasons why the public should not support transit.  When the numbers are not in their favor, as is often the case, many resort to arguments that feed on public sentiment, but are ill founded nonetheless.  Here’s what they always say:

RIDERSHIP

FUNDING

URBAN

LIFESTYLE

MISCELLANEOUS

Transit ridership forecasts for proposed rail projects are exaggerated.

  • Since 1990 light rail ridership has nearly doubled from 175 million trips to 336 million in 2001.  In fact, 11 out of 12 new rail systems built after 1980 in the U.S. have added new lines since their opening due to increased demand.
  • Early new light rail project ridership estimates were greatly exaggerated during the early and mid 1980s, as highlighted in the Urban Mass Transit Administration-financed report, Urban Rail Transit Projects:  Forecast Versus Actual Ridership and Costs (1989).  This is to be expected when there is little upon which to base estimates.  New regulations and oversight by the Federal Transit Administration, and experiential data has solved this problem, and in most cases, have caused underestimates of ridership levels.  For example, Baltimore’s light rail has seen their ridership increase seven-fold since 1992. 
  • When planned and implemented correctly, projections and estimates are very accurate. For example:

    Salt Lake City's light rail system, TRAX, projected initial weekday ridership of 14,000. Actual ridership for first four months was 19,000 per weekday. Saturday ridership was even higher at 25,000. TRAX also came in a year ahead of schedule and $23 million under budget.
When Portland's MAX system opened in 1998, critics argued the 2005 ridership projections were overly optimistic. MAX surpassed it's 2005 projections by its second anniversary, carrying 71,000 riders per day.

Sacramento's system came in on budget and three months early.

St. Louis' system came in on budget and four months early.


Only 2% of trips are on transit.

  • This statistic is not an accurate method of determining the success of light rail. It is not a measure of transit or commute trips.  Rather, this figure accounts for all trips in the region, 24 hours a day, including freight trips. 
  • A more accurate assessment can be made by looking at the percentage of “transit-competitive” trips, those trips that are competitive to the automobile, in both time and convenience.  Transit-competitive trips are generally between 22-40% in favor of transit.  In areas that are not served by transit, the only option is to drive, which, in part explains the high percentage of commutes by automobile.
  • The U.S. has over 8.2 million lane miles of roads.  Only 4.3% of those roads are served by transit.  Additionally, transit buses or parallel passenger rail lines run on only 168,603 miles.



Light rail cannot displace the same or a greater number of automobile passengers.

  • This argument inaccurately compares the capacity of highways and rail transit to move passengers.  A look at any transportation engineering manual will tell otherwise.  According to the Highway Capacity Manual, [i] highway operations are described as Level of Service (LOS), ranging from LOS A to LOS F.  Peak highway capacity is typically regarded as LOS E (2,000 passenger cars per hour per lane).  If you multiply that number by the Average Vehicle Occupancy (AVO) which averages 1.25 persons, you get 2,500 persons per lane per hour on a highway.  For transit, a typical 6 car train can carry 750 passengers.  Running at 20 trains per hour, per direction, that equates to 30,000 passengers.  It would take a twelve lane freeway going in one direction to equate the same amount of capacity of one light rail line. [ii]
  • Beware, critics like to make inaccurate comparisons between maximum highway capacities and actual light rail ridership numbers.


Transit funding would be better spent on building highways.

  • Studies have shown repeatedly that adding lane miles to roads does not significantly relieve congestion.  New roadways quickly fill to capacity and show little effect on surrounding arteries.  A study by Xeuhao Chu, [iii] a professor at UC Berkeley, states that increasing roadway miles by one percent “would reduce (congestion) by one-eleventh of a percent on freeways.”  Further, studies show that the investment of time lost in traffic due to the construction and expansion of roads does not have a significant return. [iv]


Bus is the cheapest means of public transportation.

  • In fact, buses cost significantly more to operate than rail.  The Federal Transit Administration’s 1999 National Transit Database [v] shows an average operating cost per passenger mile on light rail of 45˘, compared to 55˘ on buses. Let's look at a few specific examples: 

    St. Louis has an operating cost per passenger trip of $1.18 on light rail, compared to $2.31 on buses.
In Portland, operating costs per boarding are $1.40 on light rail and $1.67 on buses.

In Los Angeles, operating costs per passenger mile are 30˘ on light rail, 57˘ on buses.
  • About 80% of the cost operating any transit system is labor.  Buses produce 100,000 passenger miles for every employee annually.  Compare this to 206,329 miles per employee for light rail, 294,008 for subway rail, and 399,778 for commuter rail.  It should be noted that when the goal is a mix of transportation modes to meet all needs, buses provide needed routing flexibility.
  • To be fair, it should be noted that capital costs are significantly higher for light rail than for buses.  Capital costs for an initial bus system range from $1-8 million per mile compared to light rail at $10-30 million per mile. [vi]   Of additional note, buses do not offer the same benefits of light rail in terms of increased economic development, reduced air pollution, and higher passenger attraction.


Transportation funding should be spent proportionally based on mode.

  • Approximately 40 million Americans, nearly 20% of the population, use transit on a regular basis. [vii]   On the federal level, transit receives approximately 20% of available transportation funds.
  • Since the completion of the Interstate highway system and passage of the Intermodal Surface Transportation Efficiency Act of 1991, there has been a significant shift in investment priorities.  The past forty years has seen a massive investment in road infrastructure, but now the focus is on transit infrastructure and highway maintenance.
    If market demand is any indicator of where investment should be made, one need only look at the demand for federal New Starts transit funding.  By some estimates, based on available federal funds, there is a 20 year backlog of requests for transit projects.  In addition, transit investment leads to transit growth.  When transit trips are competitive with the automobile, there is a large percentage of people who will choose transit.
  • A recent survey indicates that 66% of Americans see improving public transportation as the solution to congestion. [viii]


Transit works only in high-density areas.

  • Defined broadly, transit can serve as the life-blood of rural communities.  For example:

    Van pools
    Rural bus service
    Commuter Rail
  • Density is becoming less and less important as park-and-ride facilities become more integrated with new and existing systems. Transit can also work as the backbone of a system that connects two suburban hubs of activity.  An example would be traveling to a rail station by way of bus or driving to a park-and-ride lot, and upon arriving to the station nearest to ones destination, taking a shuttle, cab or bus.
  • Critics rarely distinguish between vehicular density and population density. The goal of transit is to reduce vehicular densities on the road. See displacement argument.
  • This is only one way to look at the fact that transportation and development go hand in hand.  The opposite is also true.  Transit creates development.  In an earlier America , towns developed at the crossroads of most road and rail hubs.  Due to the permanent nature of rail, such transit lines are likely to cause development.
  • It should be noted that critics rarely site what are acceptable density and ridership thresholds for a successful light rail project.  Indeed, Peter Gordon, a professor from USC and longtime critic of Light Rail, is quoted as saying, “No amount of ridership would make [Light Rail] successful."


Transit funding is highly subsidized

  • All transportation is subsidized.  “Funding” for roads subsidizes the ability to conveniently drive an automobile, for which roughly 80% of all federal funding goes towards.  Only 20% of federal funding gets allocated towards transit.  According to the Office of Technology Assessment (OTA) the annual cost for automobile users ranges from $2.1 trillion to $2.9 trillion.  User fees cover between $1.7 trillion and $1.9 trillion.  This means highways receive an annual subsidy of somewhere between $439 billion and $1 trillion.  According to APTA, taxpayers contributed roughly $17 billion annually (2000$) to transit. [ix]


Transit is for wealthy downtown commuters.

  • Initial start-ups for light rail generally focus on the downtown corridors primarily because the downtown is where there is the greatest demand.  As service expands, suburb-to-suburb service emerges.
  • In actuality, according to the American Public Transportation Association, 83% of people who take transit make less than $50,000 annually [x]


Transit ridership has decreased.

  • Actual ridership numbers collected from transit agencies nationwide by the American Public Transportation Association indicate that transit ridership nearly doubled from 1990 to 2000.
  • Indeed transit’s share of trips declined from the end World War II, when increased car ownership and new zoning regulations caused a shift in transit habits.  However, since 1991, transit has hit a twenty year high and is on the rise.  For five straight years now, transit ridership nationally has grown faster than highway use.  Over the past six years, trips made on public transportation in the U.S. went up 21%, while highway use increased only 12% [xi]
  • The recent increase in ridership is remarkable since Americans have far more access to an automobile than they do transit.  The U.S. has over 8.2 million lane miles of roads.  Only 4.3% of those roads are served by transit. [xii]


Americans love their cars.

  • Americans love cars as a symbol of freedom and prosperity.  As our landscape and our economy changes so do these tokens.  Cars no longer set us free if they force us to sit still in traffic and cut us off from the people and places we’re going to see.  This is increasingly the case in neighborhoods surrounding many cities, not just during rush hours, but during off-peak hours as well.
  • This is an evasive argument, and one that gets used quite often.  What should be acknowledged is that light rail and transit is an effective way to deal with rush hour travel demand.


Transit agencies should be privatized and operate on free market competition.

  • This would be great, if there were a free market left in the transportation sector.  The fact is, the free market didn’t create the decline in transit ridership or the over-dependence on the automobile.  Policies and restrictions such as the massive investment in the Interstate Highway System and the mortgage interest deduction on single family homes are in part to blame.  Any free market economist will tell you, a free market demands a level playing field. To achieve it, all subsidies (highways, autos, etc.) would need to be relinquished.
  • In actuality, early transit systems were private, and turned a profit.  It wasn’t until the government and auto-maker lobby interests intervened. [xiii]


Portland, OR Transit-Oriented Development design is heavily subsidized and is a failure.

  • Critics like referring to Portland’s TOD Property Tax Exemption Ordinance as a subsidy for TOD.  Well, it is.  The ordinance gives developers a 10 year tax break for building high density housing and mixed use projects near light rail stops.  While it may seem that Portland is just giving away money, the fact is that the city will benefit two-fold:  After 10 years, the increase in property values, and the corresponding property taxes will offset the abatement in less than 10 additional years, and the transit investment will be protected with the increase in potential riders living and working in close proximity.
  • This argument is short-term thinking, when actually, TOD is a long-term benefit.
  • In January 1999, the National Home Builders selected one of Portland’s TODs, "Orenco Station" out of nearly 1,000 entries for their "Master Planned Community of the Year" gold award.  In 1998, it won the Governor's Livability Award. [xiv]


Transit-Oriented Developments are not conducive to retail establishments
.

  • On the contrary, developers view train stations as prime retail and residential locations.  Their permanence and proximity to convenient transportation make the decision to develop within walking distance a no-brainer.  In Washington DC, Virginia, St. Louis, San Francisco and Dallas, rail projects have consistently offered a dollar-for-dollar return on transit investment in the form of residential and retail development.
  • The value per square foot of commercial space near Metrorail stations in Northern Virginia has jumped more than 600 percent since the first station opened in 1977. [xv]
  • In Atlanta, $70 billion in apartments, offices and other developments have been built near the rapid transit rail lines.  Around Washington D.C. 40% of new building space in the 1980s, worth $3 billion, was built within walking distance of a Metro stop. [xvi]

The private automobile is safer than public transportation

  • According to the Bureau of Transportation Statistics, in 2001, the U.S. witnessed 42,196 automobile related fatalities, compared to 267 public transportation fatalities.[xvii]
  • Even if you examine fatalities on a per 100 million Passenger-Mile basis, public transportation is still safer. Motor vehicles account for 0.93 fatalities per 100 million Passenger-Miles; Rail Rapid Transit (Metro) has a 0.55 fatality rate; Commuter Rail has a 0.05 fatality rate; Bus has a 0.10 fatality rate; and Light Rail has a 0.00 fatality rate.[xviii]
  • Disparities in reporting systems for accidents also contribute to flaws in these numbers. For example, some states do not report accidents if the cost in damages is less than $200. Another example is that most fatalities from LRT/automobile collisions are double-counted as both LRT and highway fatalities.

[i] Transportation Research Board, Highway Capacity Manual, http://gulliver.trb.org/publications/trnews/rpo/rpo.trn129.pdf

[iii] Chu, Xeuhao, Measuring Transit Performance Using Data Envelopment Analysis, UC-Berkeley, 1990, www.its.uci.edu/its/publications/wp.html

[iv] Surface Transportation Policy Project, Road Work Ahead, 1999.  www.transact.org/report.asp?id=166

[v] Federal Transit Administration, National Transit Database, 1999.  www.fta.dot.gov/ntl/database.html

[vi] International Energy Agency, Bus Systems For The Future, 2001.

[viii] Surface Transportation Policy Project, Walking Survey, April 2003.  www.transact.org/report.asp?id=205

[ix] APTA, 2000 Public Transportation Fact Book, www.apta.com

[xi] Surface Transportation Policy Project with statistics from APTA and FHWA, www.transact.org/news.asp?id=1

[xii] Surface Transportation Policy Project, Transit Growing Faster Than Driving, 2002.  www.transact.org/library/decoder/Transit_VMTDecoder.pdf

[xv] Virginia Transit Online,  Transit Fosters Business Development in the Commonwealth

[xvi] SUSTRAN, Some Economic Benefits of Sustainable Transportation, May 1996.

[xvii]Bureau of Transportation Statistics,
www.bts.gov/publications/national_transportation_statistics/2003/html/table_02_01.html

[xviii] Bureau of Transportation Statistics/National Transportation Statistics 1999 and FTA/National Transit Statistics and Trends 1998; average motor vehicle occupancy rate of 1.5 calculated from 1998 FHWA data. Analysis borrowed from LightRailNow.org